The two veteran California lawmakers unexpectedly announcing this week that they would not seek reelection – Reps. Ed Royce, R-Fullerton, and Darrell Issa, R-Vista – both represent districts where Hillary Clinton beat Donald Trump. Both are among districts targeted by Democrats in their effort to flip the 24 seats needed to take control of the House of Representatives. The prospect of losing often factors into such retirement decisions.
“The incumbents have their ear to the ground and they are headed to the exits,” said Raphael Sonenshein, executive director of Cal State Los Angeles’ Pat Brown Institute of Public Affairs. “In terms of what’s going to happen in November, incumbents are the canary in the coal mine.